Beef prices have soared in the US — and not just during grilling season

OMAHA Neb AP Anyone firing up the grill this summer already knows hamburger patties and steaks are expensive but the latest numbers show prices have climbed to record highs And experts say consumers shouldn t expect much relief soon either The average price of a pound of ground beef rose to in June up nearly from a year ago according to U S executive information The average price of all uncooked beef steaks rose to per pound But this is not a new phenomenon Beef prices have been steadily rising over the past years because the supply of cattle remains tight while beef remains popular In fact the U S cattle herd has been steadily shrinking for decades As of Jan the U S had million cattle and calves down from the majority up-to-date peak in That is the lowest number of cattle since according to the U S Department of Agriculture Numerous factors including drought and cattle prices have contributed to that decline And now the emergence of a pesky parasite in Mexico and the prospect of widespread tariffs may further reduce supply and raise prices Here s a look at what s causing the price of beef to rise Smaller herd The American beef industry has gotten better at breeding larger animals so ranchers can provide the same amount of beef with fewer cattle commented David Anderson a livestock economist at Texas A M Then in a three-year drought began that dried out pastures and raised the cost of feed for cattle according to the American Farm Bureau Drought has continued to be a obstacle across the West since then and the price of feed has put more pressure on ranchers who already operate on slim profit margins In response multiple farmers slaughtered more female cattle than usual which helped beef supplies in the short term but lowered the size of future herds Lower cattle supplies has raised prices In latest years cattle prices have soared so that now animals are selling for thousands of dollars apiece Contemporary prices show cattle selling for more than per hundredweight or hundred pounds Those higher prices give ranchers more incentive to sell cows now to capture profits instead of hanging onto them for breeding given that prices in the years ahead may decrease Anderson disclosed For them the balance is Do I sell that animal now and take this record high check Or do I keep her to realize her returns over her productive life when she s having calves Anderson noted And so it s this balancing act and so far the side that s been winning is to sell her and get the check Condition dilemma The emergence of a flesh-eating pest in cattle herds in Mexico has put extra pressure on supply because personnel cut off all imports of cattle from south of the territory line last year Chosen of the cattle the U S feeds to slaughter for beef comes from Mexico The pest is the New World screwworm fly and female cows lay eggs in wounds on warm-blooded animals The larvae that hatch are unique among flies for feeding on live flesh and fluids instead of dead material American functionaries worry that if the fly reaches Texas its flesh-eating maggots could cause large economic losses as they did decades ago before the U S eradicated the pest Agricultural economist Bernt Nelson with the Farm Bureau disclosed the loss of that multiple cattle is putting additional pressure on supply that is helping drive prices higher Tariff trouble President Donald Trump s tariffs have yet to have a major impact on beef prices but they could be another factor that drives prices higher because the U S imports more than million pounds of beef every year Much of what is imported is lean beef trimmings that meatpackers mix with fattier beef produced in the U S to produce the varieties of ground beef that domestic consumers want Much of that lean beef comes from Australia and New Zealand that have only seen a tariff but several of it comes from Brazil where Trump has threatened tariffs as high as If the tariffs remain in place long-term meat processors will have to pay higher prices on imported lean beef It wouldn t be easy for U S producers to replace because the country s system is geared toward producing fattier beef known for marbled steaks Prices will likely stay high It s the height of grilling season and demand in the U S for beef remains strong which Kansas State agricultural economist Glynn Tonsor mentioned will help keep prices higher If prices remain this high shoppers will likely start to buy more hamburger meat and fewer steaks but that doesn t appear to be happening broadly yet and people also don t seem to be buying chicken or pork instead of beef Nelson stated that of late the drought has eased allowing pasture conditions to improve and grain prices are down thanks to the drop in export demand for corn because of the tariffs Those factors combined with the high cattle prices might persuade more ranchers to keep their cows and breed them to expand the size of their herds Even if ranchers decided to raise more cattle to help replace those imports it would take at least two years to breed and raise them And it wouldn t be clear if that is happening until later this fall when ranchers typically make those decisions We ve still got a lot of limitations in the way to grow this herd Nelson announced Just consider that a young farmer who wants to add bred heifers to his herd has to be prepared to spend more than at auction at a time when borrowing costs remain high There is typically a seasonal decline in beef prices as grilling season slows down into the fall but those price declines are likely to be modest Associated Press writer Dee-Ann Durbin contributed to this document from Detroit Source